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Old 08-18-2005, 08:03 AM
morello morello is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2003
Posts: 3
Default Re: Odds for turning a pair into a set

This should go in the probability forum.

2 outs, 5 cards to come (ignores straights/flushes/opponent redraws, etc)

The calculation is quite simple. 50 unknown cards, 2 of which help us. So 1 - (48/50 * 47/49 * 46/48 * 45/47 * 44/46), which gives us a ~19.2% chance of happening. 4.2:1 or so.
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