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Old 11-23-2002, 11:41 AM
hutz hutz is offline
Senior Member
Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Houston
Posts: 545
Default Re: Am I making this AK calculation correctly

Perhaps you two haven't fully defined the terms of your debate, so you're both right in a way. I'm sure I'm not going to articulate this very well, but it seems like there is a disconnect in your respective lines of thought. The odds of a king or ace flopping if one or more of each are out actually go down because there are fewer of them left in the dealer's hands. The odds calculation you went through assumes you know that only one of each are gone and that all of the other cards your opponents are holding are NOT aces or kings. The base 2.45:1 odds calculation you use for your comparison assumes only two cards are known (yours). I don't believe your analysis is comparing apples to apples. Perhaps that's the basis for your disagreement? [img]/forums/images/icons/confused.gif[/img]
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