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I'm pretty sure the SB had QQ or less before the draw as I took down 2 aces. Button was on a draw. What are the odds that at least one of them improved? I'm not sure how to do the math. I *happen* to be right on this hand, but I'm still not sure if it was +EV longterm.
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Doing the math is easy. Just look at the appendix of Super System. [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img] If you don't own the book, you can check out the odds at Mike Caro's website:
www.poker1.com/mcu/mculib_odds.asp
Far more important than the actual odds of them making their hands, IMO, is the chance that the button would bluff and the SB would call with a hand you beat. In my experience, this combo is very rare, certainly rare enough to make folding the right play. Of course, if you have reads on both players that lead you to believe you have a decent shot at winning the pot then you should call.