Re: A quick note about \"rareness\" of bets
Two things.
1) I've posted a number of times re: how much people underestimate the swings in these games. See my latest post re: Gonores' challenge and his variance. I think a 400BB downstreak is definitely possible for a 3BB/100 winner in these aggro online games, especially the SH ones. This actually goes hand-in-hand w/ Ed's point. To maximize earn, you push all the thin edges and play a pretty high variance style. With that comes an occassional brutal streak.
2) Every time I've had a 200BB+ downswing (and I've had a few), it has always involved an "unreal" streak of really bad luck, but is usually augmented with some pretty bad play at times along the way. Mini-tilts of 20BB here and there plus some missed bets at times can easily turn a 150BB run of bad cards into a 250BB disaster. So, IMO, I think the worst "bad run of cards" I've had is somewhere between 200-250BB. By that I mean, had I kept my "A game" the whole time, I still would have lost that amount.
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