Re: Paying people off.
I can see the purpose calling the turn and folding the river serves but not too sure if it's correct without working it out.
From combinations you are winning about 60% of the time considering he'd play little aces this way. You only need to win 10% of the time. So he would only have to bet his little aces 17% of the time's he held them for you to be correct to call.
Do 1/5 of the players with these stats bet the river AND c/r the flop with A2? I don't think so. The reason i don't think that is because i don't think the c/r the flop rather than the river bet so i would be more inclined the fold the turn.
|