Re: Set: check/raise or lead?
Given your read on Villian, I think it's likely that she bets in this spot, especially in a shorthanded pot. I would normally checkraise here, but the checkpush seems even better, as it looks like a bet on a draw. Hopefully she'll be holding an overpair or some sort of draw and will decide to call your bet.
If she is likely to raise your bet in this spot, then I prefer a bet, as she is more likely to call your re-raise push after throwing in a raise herself.
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