The CO should bet just about anything when checked to in this situation. All I've done is raised preflop and continuation bet paired board. A bluff raise was a possibility.

I called the turn getting 8.5:1 planning on betting the river on any 9 or Q and bluffing any 2, 5, or [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].

I've got an 10.5:1 chance of hitting a 9 or Q. And a good chance of making up 2BB on the river when I do hit. So if he does have a flush, my call is ~neutral EV.

So how often does my bluff have to work on the river to make the whole play profitable?

Is there a 10% chance of folding CO considering what we are representing? Does the clarkmeister have a 10% chance in this situation?

Or is it still just dumb?