[slavic]

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I actually think folding the turn is the play here.

Rob

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I imagine that the key to this line is that you figure that UTG+1 (given his stats) would probably not follow through with a turn bet without a pair here.

Then I dig. That read has to be pretty damn precise in a pot of this size, in my opinion.

Another thing to consider is that raising the turn might sometimes (not often, but sometimes) encourage UTG+1 to fold a better pair.

I definitely don't like a flop raise. I don't like simply calling the turn. So it comes down to "call flop, raise turn" and "call flop, fold turn," and the difference between the two is almost entirely read-based.

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I should probably give the rest of his stats.

Continuation bets over 1875 hands are 100% I don't view his turn continuations, 40% of showdowns, wins 45% of them. That last part just has to be an anomally. Also he's on the last 3rd of his buy in if that's worth anything.