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Old 12-27-2005, 01:48 AM
Texas Pete Texas Pete is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2004
Posts: 82
Default Re: pushing in the orange zone (PP$150)

Just did some math, pushing is +CEV
assuming you only get called when behind (22+, AQo+) by anyone behind you,

(1) everyone folds 63.3% * (2107 + 225) = 1476
(2) one caller 36.7%
(a) win 42% = "4214" (ignoring the blinds for now)
(b) lose 58% = 0
================
650

Total is 2126 > 2107 for folding. But remember, I haven't included the blinds in pot if hero gets called, so it's definitely +CEV relative to folding.
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