[GooperMC]

Here are my numbers

Call:
I am assuming that there will be 3BB put in on the river.
15BB total of which I put in 2.
Scoop: (.16)(15) = 2.4
1/2: (.25)(7.5) = 1.88
Lose: (.58)(-1) = -.58
Total EV: 3.7

Raise 0 Fishy callers:
Assuming that I would only call the 3 bet the pot would be 20BB of which I put in 5.
Scoop: (.16)(20) = 3.2
1/2: (.25)(10) = 2.5
Lose: (.58)(-4) = -2.3
Total EV: 3.4

Raise 1 Fishy caller:
Assuming that fishy caller would call a cap and a bet on the river the pot would be 23BB of which I put in 6.
Scoop: (.16)(23) = 3.68
1/2: (.25)(11.5) = 2.88
Lose: (.58)(-5) = -2.9
Total EV: 3.66

Raise 2 Fishy caller:
Assuming that both fishy caller would call a cap and 1 fishy caller would call river bet the pot would be 27BB of which I put in 6.
Scoop: (.16)(27) = 4.32
1/2: (.25)(13.5) = 3.38
Lose: (.58)(-5) = -2.9
Total EV: 4.8

If we say that 25% of the time I get 2 fishy callers 25% of the time I get 0 fishy callers and 50% of the time I get 1 fishy caller
Total EV = (.25)(3.4) + (.25)(4.8) + (.5)(3.66) = 3.88

Looks like Greg hit it right not the nose. The raise looks to be slightly +EV over a call (unless I messed up somewhere in my math).

The raise will also have a small –EV bump because it is more likely that I will make a crying call in a larger pot. However I think that is very minimal because a good crying call should be +EV. In other words if I win a crying call in the large pot I will win larger then in a small pot.