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Old 08-24-2005, 05:47 PM
Hamlet Hamlet is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Minneapolis
Posts: 3
Default Re: Wow, I raised and folded to a 3bet.

I agree with the group that this is a strange way to play the hand, but I kinda like it. You really need to get the hand head's up. The way it played out, you may get Seat 1 to fold a pair of Jacks. Folding to the 3-bet depends on the player, and with no read I think you're probably right to fold. Most players wouldn't 3-bet with 2 small pair. Possible hands for a rational opponent and my guess at percentage chance of holding it:

a made straight 25%
trips 25%
a pair and a good draw 20%
just a good draw 10%
two pair 10%
a buried big pair 10%

Obviously, I'm pulling these numbers out of an orfice. But I would say 50% of the time you are hurting big-time, 40% you are a dog but still have decent outs, and 10% you're a small favorite.

The big pot you've made has made the decision challenging. [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]
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