[amoeba]

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I disagree. Given your read of Villain calling down a lot bets I think you will make more in the long run by betting $75 on the turn. If you don't make 2-pair or flush you can check behind on the river. Against a solid player you would want to avoid CR and get cheap river but against donk I think you will miss too much value here. Pretend you have AQ offsuit, wouldn't you bet here against this opponent?

If he does CR raise you just make a decision on based on the size of his bet.

Also, if you check here and miss river will you call a pot-sized bet on river?

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I lose the same amount if I am behind and I check here and call a pot sized bet on the river, vs me betting here, getting called and calling a 1/3 pot to 1/2 pot sized bet on river.

when I check behind and if he checks the river, I'll bet the river.

I don't want to blow my chances of winning a big pot by just for getting an extra turn bet when I'll check behind on the river anyways.

with AQ off, I might check behind on the turn as well as I don't want to play a huge pot with it.