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Old 01-28-2005, 02:05 PM
eastbay eastbay is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2003
Posts: 647
Default Re: empirical equity study

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Position doesn't matter. Nor do blinds or skill levels. But it would validate (or disprove) ICM, which would be useful in itself.

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I have some doubts about that. It raises an interesting question though: can a game of players who all play the same generate different equities for the same stack distribution, by the manner in which they all play? It seems there should be an easy logical proof or an easy counterexample, but neither came to me in the 10 seconds it took me to write this post.

eastbay

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Ok, I thought of one. Consider HU match. Strategy A is to push when you have half or more of the chips, and fold if you have less than half. Clearly equity distribution is a step function for two players both playing this strategy.

Strategy B is push everything, call everything. We know that equity distribution is basically linear for this strategy.

So the answer is yes: the equity function of a game of players all playing the same strategy does depend on the strategy employed. And this is why I am not too fond of your "validation" of ICM for all pushes. It may generate a reasonable distribution, but it also may not, and I don't think it will close the case either way.

eastbay

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It is interesting to note that strategy A employs "equal skill" and yet the distribution is not linear. I understand Mr. Sklansky provides a "flawless logical proof" in TPFAP that any such distribution must be linear.

I don't own the book. Anyone care to comment?

eastbay
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