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Old 11-01-2005, 01:26 PM
Pedigree Pedigree is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Virginia
Posts: 35
Default Re: JJ and overcard in big pot

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I find it much easier to just estimate the hands he'll call me with than it is to take into account what hands he'll call me with AND the probability he has them.

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That's exactly what I'm doing, only on paper [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

It seems like the general consensus is that the odds on him having a queen are high enough not to make this value bet clearly valuable. I'll keep checking here.

EDIT: Though, I shouldn't have been in the pot to begin with.

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Right, the odds he has a queen are considerably higher than 25%. I'd even say they are higher than 50% (meaning no percentage of the time opponent calls down with an inferior hand could make it worth it).

Fold the flop and (given the action to that point) check the river.
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