Re: Raising then autobetting missed flops. (Warning: 10 hands)
This is definitely a big fat leak of mine, too, probably stemming from my no-limit tournament background. I definitely autobet everything I raise because checking as the PFR screams "my overcards whiffed."
That said, I'm still a winning player at .50/1 because . . .
1) they fold;
2) they call and I hit my hand on fourth or fifth street;
3) they call down and show weaker UI OC's than mine
. . . often enough to offset when I lose because someone called me down with fourth pair.
However, I'm starting to keep better track of which players will fold or call me down with bad hands so I don't indiscriminately push so much that my AF is more than the price of a gallon of gas. In California.
This is how I'd play these hands:
1: Bet and hope UTG raises to blow out anyone hanging around with a gutshot. Call if it's one back to you and see what the turn brings.
2: Fold. The K is bad news. What could a LPP be betting with that you beat?
3: Raise to isolate the SLAP. He could be betting with a 10.
4: Ordinarily I might raise here in the hopes of being checked to on the turn to see a free river, but against a TAA that might be wishing for too much.
5: Check. Your hand is toast and if Button is weak, you might just hit your set on the turn for free.
6: Bet. That's a fearsome flop and you could take it down uncontested.
7: Ick. I auto-bet this one, but it's a big fat leak in my game.
8: Reraise. You have an outstanding hand! Push that mother.
9: Fold. The A almost certainly wrecked you.
10: Bet, representing an overpair.
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