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Old 09-13-2005, 02:14 PM
molawn2mo molawn2mo is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 103
Default Re: 99 capped preflop, do you get aggressive somewhere?

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why would you want to bet the flop and clear the field to be headsup when there's a big overcard on board and if you're not behind already, your opponents certainly have outs against you?

plus, this pot is huge, and even a bet/raise isn't necessarily likely to clear things up. the only reason to see the turn is that this is 1:23 coming back to you. you're peeling for a miracle here, and the implied odds from your hit will help offset any loss.

when the turn drops, i'm assuming hero was planning to check/fold to a bet. when it gets checked through...

i'm assuming UTG has a non AQ hand with a Q in it. the pot is big enough, and the two preflop aggressors have slowed down to the point where it's reasonable to assume they have unimproved overs (or, less likely, but possible, JJ or TT). since they may not overcall, and the pot is large, a call seems pretty close here. UTG probably expects to be called, however. the question is whether he bets a pair that isn't a Q to lead the river.

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I don't understand why the lone Q on the flop is discouraging to you. This is much better than average flop for hero. The 2 villains are aggro. I don't want to get too deep into this hand if I'm behind yet I want to narrow the field so as to lessen the likelihood of being outdrawn. So I will invest 2 SB on the flop to reduce the field.

Check calling the flop just invites getting outdrawn on the big streets if we happen to be good at the moment.

As played. on the turn, this seems like a clear value bet to me (you may have some small fold equity here, too). Villain, holding a Q, ought be betting the turn.
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