Re: 4th street play
because the flop aggressor is the only player left to act, and even if he folds you're still getting the same amount of money on this turn when the bettor calls as if you'd slowplayed this. they'll be more inclined to call and slowdown and pay you off on the river as well, not putting you on quads, than they will be to call a river raise. because you're depending on UTG+1 to be trying to pull of a check raise on the turn. because you're depending on them betting into you again on the river when they may not be paired yet and get suspicious of all this calling.
it only gets easier when you miss your raise and UTG+1 does INDEED pull off his c/r.
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