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Old 12-20-2005, 02:35 PM
Grisgra Grisgra is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 715
Default Re: River the underfull

[ QUOTE ]
That doesn't make sense. If there ARE players who will pay off with those hands and this guy is unknown, then there is a certain percentage chance he will be one of these players who pays off. It's like the range of opponents/range of hands that Josh mentioned the other day. Against an unknown it must be taken into account (so must the fact that unknowns figure to be worse players if you datamine or play a lot). In this case I think the opponent range and corresponding hand range is favorable to a bet/call.

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What doesn't make sense? That I think this 'certain percentage' is low?

I agree that there is a certain percentage that will pay off with 22 or Q-high. But in my opinion the number that will pay off a bet is not even half the number that will be ahead of you here and raise your sorry butt.
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