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Old 12-19-2005, 09:21 PM
Mr_J Mr_J is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 639
Default Re: Odds of a major downswing?

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That would tell me my % chance of having a 10 buyin drop,

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You didn't understand me. I was suggesting you calculate the odds that a 15% player will have a -10 buyin drop over 300 sngs, within his 1800-1900 sng sample. You might be 1% or 5% to experience -10 buyins over 300 sngs, but you have played 1800-1900 and not 300, which makes this much more likely.
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