Re: Odds of a major downswing?
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I think you should be calculating the chance that a 15% player has a -10 buyin 300 sng run within 1800 sngs.
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No, I shouldn't. That would tell me my % chance of having a 10 buyin drop, which would obviously be higher than my chances of being down 10 buyins over any 300 SNG stretch. I wanted to know the chances of myself having a 10 buyin drop over 300 SNGs, and now I know the answer. Thanks bluefeet!
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