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Old 12-19-2005, 08:29 PM
splashpot splashpot is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: Needham, MA
Posts: 425
Default Re: Odds of a major downswing?

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I'm just wondering what the odds are that a long term 15% ROI player could lose 11 buy-ins over a 300 SNG stretch.

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Using the ROI simulator, I ran 10,000 simulations of 300 games each for a 15% ROI player. The largest drop out of the 10,000 was 57 buyins. 20% of the 10,000 had a drop larger than 11 buyins.
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