Re: That seems like a bad river card, live 20/40
If the guy is not tilting I would just check and fold since he probably isn't going to call again on 4th street with just a nine. A tilting player will probably make this call, but that still doesn't mean that you should bet the river. If he will have a flush 50% of the time and a worse hand that pays off 50% of the time, it makes no difference what you do (assuming that he never bets a worse hand).
It seems to me that you are going to be 2nd best here more then you will be winning. If the guy will not bet 9x when you check to him, I would check and fold here even if I knew he was on tilt. If he would bet the nine some of the time I would go ahead and bet-fold. Overall I feel like you will be a big underdog when he bets, so I would still check and fold on the end.
Brad
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