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Old 07-05-2005, 12:52 PM
MrWookie47 MrWookie47 is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2005
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Default Re: Counterfeited by the turn, hit my draw on the river

I think I fold the turn. At the very best, you have only 6 outs (K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] and 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] are not outs). On top of that, you may be drawing dead to the flush, and with that Q falling, you may be drawing to chop. Six outs is pretty optimistic. Your pot odds are 6.5:1, and hitting a 6 outer is 6.67:1. I guess you might make up one extra BB on the river if he bets into you again and you call and win, but you're on the hairy edge if you give yourself the most optimistic number of outs. Folding is better in this small pot.

The flop call is more OK because you're getting better odds and not likely to chop at that point. Even then, you're getting 8:1 (good for 5 outs) not closing the action and there's a chance that you're drawing dead, or that a fourth diamond falls after you hit your draw. I guess it's marginal, but I wouldn't feel too happy about doing it.
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