[johnnybeef]

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Add in the 10 out flops (KJT, JT9) and the times he slowplay checks the flop and you catch a 2 outer and I think you have enough here.

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These situations are far too remote to add in to the equation, even if as a rough estimation.



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He's calling 175 and playing for the other guy's stack plus the pot which is gonna be something like 1200 total.


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I'm getting 1280:175 which equals 7.3:1. This of course is less than the 7.5:1 needed to hit a set. Even when you throw in an outside possibility that he may do this with a hand like AK or (gasp) AQ, there simply is not enough overlay.

PS. check my #s:

25 = sb
50 = bb
175 = raptor's raise
1030 = villains stack