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Old 08-29-2004, 01:23 PM
CrisBrown CrisBrown is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: Florida
Posts: 1,493
Default Re: Trying to learn PLO

Hi sherbert,

[ QUOTE ]
Just out of interest, if you were heads up against AAss, weak sidecards, do you know what the difference is in win rate between KKQJds and KKT8ss?

[/ QUOTE ]

According to two-dimes.net, where "live" means the KK's flush draw is live:

AA87ds -- 71% (live) or 74%
KKT8ss -- 29% (live) or 26%

AA87ds -- 61% (live) or 65%
KKQJds -- 39% (live) or 35%

To me, that's a significant difference: 7:3 or as much as 3:1 vs. KKT8ss, as compared to 2:1 or as little as 3:2 vs. KKQJds. And those numbers assume both hands go to the river. It seems to me, and again I'm new at Omaha, that KKQJds is much more likely to flop enough outs to justify going to the river.

[Edit:] Sorry, I misread your original post and thought you meant the AA hand was double-suited. Duh. Against AAxxss, if the KK's flush draw is live, the win rates are 32.5% for KKT8ss, and 43% for KKQJds. If the KK's flush is covered, the numbers are essentially the same as above.

So, against a single-suited AA, provided the flush draw is live, KKQJds is basically a 4:3 dog, while KKT8ss is a bit worse than a 2:1 dog. Again, to me, those differences are substantial.

Cris
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