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Old 10-14-2005, 11:55 AM
TaintedRogue TaintedRogue is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2003
Posts: 46
Default Re: AA in mutliway pot theory

QQ open/raises, KK re-raises and you cap it with AA. the blinds fold and 3 see the flop with 15.5 SB's in the pot.

Flop: KQ9 rainbow.

QQ bets, KK raises. Now what? Are you up against AK & AQ or AK and KQ, or JTs & AK. You're not going to say: "Chits! I'm up against two sets."
If you're up against one of the hands above, instead of two sets, do you have sufficient pot equity to call? If you call and it gets capped back to you, you gotta call now and then what?
Against KK/QQ/JJ/TT you have 8 cards that can give someone a set.
Since we know where 10 of the cards are, there are 42 remaining; 42*41*40 = 68,880/3*2*1 = 11,480 possible flops.
There are 32*31*30/6 = 4960 flops that won't give your opponents a set. 11,480/4960 = 2.31 or 1.31:1 in favor of you not being up against a set after the flop.
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