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Old 08-27-2004, 06:18 AM
crockpot crockpot is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Urbana, IL
Posts: 2,899
Default Re: Here\'s one from a few weeks ago

i don't like this play unless you know the opponent is very aggressive. it gains only when the opponent has a flush draw, misses, and bets both the turn and river, or if he has J8 and passes your check-raise. meanwhile, it loses whenever:

- the opponent checks behind on the river, which he will very likely do with QT and often with a set
- the opponent hits his flush on the river with the cheap card you gave him, when he would have folded to the turn check-raise or bet
- the opponent fills on the river and you automatically call him
- the opponent bluffs you out after a third suited card hits
- the opponent has KJ also and doesn't pay you off on the river if you fill up

add this all up, and i think your best play is to get all the money in now if you have the chance. this removes his positional advantage and all betting leverage the drawing hand has on the river.

as for the check-raise vs. betting, i like check-raising most of the time here. you'll often be betting the flop with no hand, so you can't let them know they can automatically steal from you on fourth street after you check.
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