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Old 10-27-2005, 07:46 PM
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Default Re: I think Pokerstars is wrong on these odds.. Check it out!

For a bit of perspective:

Party Poker deals over a million real money hands per day, PokerStars would be similar. That means that on average two people are going to get AQ three times in a row each day. Same for every other non pair combo (78 of them). So over 150 people EACH DAY are getting dealt the same hand three times in a row. Also, set over set over set is only about 100,000 to 1. There will be multiple each day. There will be thousands of victims of runner runner flushes. Tens of thousands of flush suckouts, enough for several people to fall victim to 5+ in a row. Hundreds of two outer sets hitting on the river, and one outer quads, with a few people experiencing it several times.

I wonder how many emails they get each day?

Also, note that Bruce's calculation is the chance of getting 3 AQ's in a row. For any 3 non-pair hands in row (AK AK AK; AJ,AJ,AJ; 72o,72o,72o etc) it is


(1326/16)^2 - 1 or about 6867 to 1.
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