View Single Post
  #5  
Old 06-30-2005, 06:09 PM
ggbman ggbman is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 605
Default Re: Let go of the flush draw?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Any way to let go of this on the turn? Do I have the odds to call?

Party Poker 3/6 Hold'em (6 max, 6 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is BB with K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
<font color="#CC3333">UTG raises</font>, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB 3-bets</font>, Hero calls, UTG calls.

Flop: (9 SB) 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#CC3333">UTG 3-bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB caps</font>, Hero calls, UTG calls.

Turn: (10.50 BB) 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets</font>, Hero calls, <font color="#CC3333">UTG raises</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB 3-bets</font>, Hero calls, <font color="#CC3333">UTG caps</font>, SB calls, Hero calls.

River: (22.50 BB) 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
SB checks, Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">UTG bets</font>, SB calls, Hero folds.

Final Pot: 24.50 BB

No real reads on anyone.

[/ QUOTE ]
After the turn it looks like there is a set somewhere (UTG w/TT). Or just two big pairs. Anyways.

On the first turn call, you are getting 11.5:1.
2nd turn call-8.5:1
3rd turn call-21:1

Lets make the assumption that you know the turn will be capped in advance. You pay 4 BB's, for an immediate reward of 18 BB's. 18:4 is 4.5:1. This is enough if you assume you have 9 outs.

Don't forget that you have implied odds, and the turn being capped is a not so common occurence. Usually someone will slow down and the overlay is more than enough.

[/ QUOTE ]

If there is set out there, he obviously doesn't have 9 clean outs, but nevertheless, there was noplac for a fold inthis hand.
Reply With Quote