Thread: A 99 hand
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Old 12-23-2005, 02:33 PM
oreogod oreogod is offline
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Default Re: A 99 hand

Here's the thing. In an optimsitc scenario if he has a flush draw, he has 7s8s which you are 70/30 to win. But say he has Q5s this flop is a coinflip. If u give him something like JTs or QJs he's a 2-1 favorite. If all he has is a gutshot (no flush draw), its a COINFLIP.

You are not really charging anything (as most of the time u are putting in the bet as a marginal favorite/coinflip or a dog, and if he's aggressive he's libal to bump it up a notch and 3bet (this does happen, but not horribly often), and really if u get 3bet on this flop u have no idea where u are at). He could have an A, a K, or just a gutshot w/ a draw or just a draw. He could force you into making an incorrect fold. You also have no folding equity on the flop, except for a bluff and why stop that.

I think if anywhere, the flop is the last place u want to put in a raise. If you really want to raise, plan to put it in on the turn. Also, say you are going to the river in this hand, you call the flop, the spade comes on the turn...you raise after calling the flop bet, u get 3bet, you are almost always beat and can fold as your flush is unlikely to give u the winning hand. All in all though, call flop and call turn is good imo, unless your turn raise on the flush card will get him to fold a better hand.
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