Re: (22) I have no idea what to do here
i really dont think you need to do this. i think you can CB without committing yourself.
if you CB for 180, hero has 435 chips left behind. now, if MP2 pushes, you are right that you are going to be pot-committed. but to be fair, you arent folding TT with a push here anyway, so the only difference is you are giving yourself a chance to get away from a push from UTG2. if UTG2 pushes, you can safely fold, I think.
Here is an example of a madeup hand range from UTG2 (if he pushes), and the equity we have in the pot:
Board: 4h 6d 8h
Dead:
equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 27.8563 % 16.31% 11.54% { AdKd }
Hand 2: 72.1437 % 60.60% 11.54% { KK+, TT-77, AKs, AKo }
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After our bet of 180, an UTG2 push, and an MP2 fold, there is, I think, 960 in the pot, giving us about 2:1 on our call, not good enough to call given our equity. If we eliminate AK from his hand range, obviously our equity goes down fairly significantly.
Anyway, that's how I'd play it. Incidentally, I'd probably bet out 180 here with JJ+ as well.
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