Thread: 10/20 Aces
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  #10  
Old 11-18-2005, 01:33 PM
SunOfBeach SunOfBeach is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2005
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Default Re: 10/20 Aces

[ QUOTE ]
So if you think he coud have something else just a small % of the time you should call. I would think so.

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i started off being not sure this is true. but then i checked and it seems like it is:

there's 2810 in the pot, and he has to call 1200 more. that's ~ 2.3:1 odds. you have him as a 3:1 dog to the logical hand range he has. if hes on something else 20% of the time, and would win with that something else only 30% of the time he has it (both assumptions seem reasonable as a starting point), then that means 80% of the time we win 25% of the time (your post - gives us pot equity of 20%), and 20% of the time we win 70% of the time (gives us pot equity of 14%). this would be a total shot of 34%. this would give us the odds to call easily as 2.3 > 64/34.
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