[Tilt]

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Thanks for your analysis Tilt - but I have to mention that your calc is way off.

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Uh, yep. [img]/images/graemlins/blush.gif[/img] God I'm an idiot. No wonder I make so many stupid calls.

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In the $83.50, you put in $25 of the pot. You also didn't subtract the -EV for $25 that you would lose.

In your second example, expected return of check-call is 0.49 x $83.50 - 0.51 x $25 = $28.

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Yeah, but I got the 100% of 32.50 right!

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The thought of calculating expected return with the side pot vs. the SB hurts my head. [img]/images/graemlins/smirk.gif[/img]

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Its almost a coinflip there. I think you should bet and take your 32.50. Unless you like flipping coins.