Re: JT hand on 2/4 Party
I'm getting 13.5:2 on Hero's flop cold-call (rather than 10.5:2), but it still seems to me that the call is based on what CO and Button could have more than it's based on what they're likely to have.
Hero may have a better read on his opponents than I do, though [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]. (I think a lot of the time Button is raising the flop because he has a queen, but Hero could know better. Also, though, I do worry about a 3-bet from CO.)
I think I like the turn checkraise. It's a good play if Hero is ahead, and if he's drawing versus Button, Hero might at least clean up some outs if Button has a hand like AK/99 and folds it. Plus, as Baronzeus points out, there is some chance of driving CO off of a better hand, though I'd be kind of surprised at this point if CO in fact had a better hand.
In any event, although the flop play seems optimistic to me, Hero is a player who would give me trouble at the table.
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