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but I think that stopping short at the idea of thinking about the mood people who are playing are in, will hurt you.

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I completely agree.

However, I challenge you to find one solid winning player who the following holds true for. Nevermind that it doesn't apply to most fish...

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I have time and time again seen people fold strong hands early on in their session and get widdled down gradually until eventually making a stand in a hopeless spot.

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You should be careful when broadly applying psychological concepts like this since the effects are vastly different in different players.