[NoChance]

Unless there is a special circumstance, I use the following guidelines:

If the ranked team is ranked 1 to 10, I wait. The public will bet it down.

If the team is ranked 16-25, I bet it early. The sharps tend to outweigh the public. As I stated in other threads, I firmly believe I have a couple points of value the minute the line is set. Therefore I bet it when it comes out.

For teams ranked 11-15, use your best judgement. It could go either way. Try to make a guess at public perception.

Now, this is just a guideline so it may not always be correct but I think the logic makes sense. I can see this one getting to -5.5 or so (just a guess) because Alabama has underperformed thus far. Again, I could be wrong. If only we knew...