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Old 12-06-2005, 06:40 PM
W. Deranged W. Deranged is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 96
Default Re: RESULTS

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Pot was $122. Yeah, I would've chopped, but this is easily my worst fold ever.

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Really?

Here's an exercise for you.

1. Give hand ranges to both of your opponents. You can be pretty liberal in this.

2. Determine what percentage of the time you are beating both players.

3. Compare that percentage to the odds the pot was giving for you to call two bets on the river.

4. Calculate your expectation on a river call.

5. Take that number, and that methodology, and drive them into your head.


Now do you still think that this is the worst fold you ever made?

My point is that you mistake by folding this river is really never that big. Getting like 10-1 or whatever on the river (this was 3/6, right?), you only made about a 1 BB mistake if you would have won this 20% of the time, which you basically never are.

You probably made the right decision folding. I would have. If it was a mistake, it wasn't bigger than the amount of money you give up every time you post the small blind....
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