Re: good read or stupid raise ?
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"I usually think they have an Ax of the suit on the board. "
Why would you "usually " think this? Are your opponents particularly lucky?
I checked on twodimes and you are marginally behind (51/49) if your opponent has the flush draw plus his AA. So if the stacks were unlimited, you would want to fold. Given that they aren't, there is money in the pot and the vast majority of the time they don't have the flush draw, you are good.
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I probably usually think this cause I tend to be a weak/tight at times at the table.
Even so, since I didn't put that much money in on this flop, and I'm likely a coin flip, or worse I think I can find better spots to take down the average player.
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