Re: wow this one is very hard i think...johnnybax hand from bellagio 1
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Keep in mind, he's only been all-in once, and that was with the nuts. So, does that guy push AA/QQ on the turn here...or call? Either way we're going against something we've seen.
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But clearly we've seen him NOT do something that we have to give him credit for doing this time for our read to be right. Plus 2.5 only needing 4. I'm leaning more towards a call here, but I certainly wouldn't hate a fold.
The bigger thing is the nasty flop 3bet with these stack sizes. I honestly don't think that there could have been a worse play at that point in the hand besides mucking.
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How about leading out the turn like that .
The 2 ways I would play it, would be either push on the flop after being raised (because I could push with some kind of draw in this spot other times)
or call the flop raise and check raise all in any non scary turn card. Given the scary card I try to get a cheap showdown.
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