[rvg72]

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Well figuring out All-In and Fold ICM's is pretty easy... putting him on 66+,AT+,KQ+ which I would think is accurate makes it:

FOLD: $66.41
PUSH: $68.05



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Well I went with my original numbers and it is a push although it is closer than you would expect and, if you feel that you are a better player than the other two, then it might even surpass the push $EV since you are much more likely to still be playing and thus be able to take advantage of other +$ev situations.

Here is the breakdown I used:

70% he folds and you have $69.32
15% he reraises and you fold and have $64.57
15% he calls

out of that 15%
1% you go all-in because you hit something and he beats you $0.00
2% he goes all-in and you call beating him $87.95
5% you place a half pot sized bet and he folds $74.60
7% you place a half pot sized bet and he reraises all in and you fold $56.79

Total it all up and you get about $67.67 - not that much lower but enough to make Pushing the better play.

Does anyone besides me think that this is interesting and deserves more analysis?

rvg