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Old 03-31-2005, 09:26 PM
jason1990 jason1990 is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 205
Default Re: Probability of 100BB Downswing

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I'm also not convinced that the 25BB downswing frequency is heavily dependent on win rate -- again, just a feeling.

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Yeah, maybe not. The dependence would drop off as the swing size decreases. But then again, I just looked at some graphs of my data. I clearly have a *lot* more 30BB upswings than 30BB downswings. If win rate was not a serious factor, I would think there would not be such an imbalance.
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