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Old 09-26-2005, 01:17 PM
shadow29 shadow29 is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: ATL
Posts: 178
Default Re: Ck raise on flop and turn?

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It is possible to protect against an outside flush draw with a check raise though right ?

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Probability of hitting runner runner flush:

(10/47) * (9/46) = 0.04162 ~ 4.16%
4.16% * 46 = 1.91 outs.

Weight that down to 1.5 because not every runner runner flush is the nut flush.

With 1 out you need 45:1 to call profitably. With 2 outs you need 22.5:1 to call profitably. So 1.5 outs is right in the middle. Therefore, a check/raise just to protect against a runner-runner flush draw is overkill; a bet protects you.
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