[tigerite]

Ok got the no overcall bit and if he really is raising 99+,AJ+ and only calls QQ+,AK+ then curtains is right

No overcall
0.85

evF Push/fold 0.1083
evL Push/lose 0
evW Push/win 0.176

Assume raising with 99+,AJ+

6 ways for 99,TT,QQ,KK,AA = 30
1 way for JJ = 1
16 ways for AK,AQ = 32
8 ways for AJ = 8
Total = 71 / 1225 = 5.8%

Assume calls with QQ+,AK+

6 ways for QQ,KK,AA = 18
16 ways for AK = 16
Total = 34 / 1225 = 2.8%

Therefore
Re-raise fold % rrF = 0.517
Re-raise push/win % rrW = 0.3619 (against QQ+,AK+)

So..
(rrF * evF) + ((1 - rrF) * evL * (1 - rrW)) + ((1 - rrF) * evW * rrW)

0.85 * [ (0.517 * 0.1083) + (0.483 * 0 * 0.6381) + (0.483 * 0.176 * 0.3619) ]

= 0.85 * [ 0.0559911 + 0 + 0.0307643952 ]
= 0.85 * [ 0.0867554952 ]

0.0867554952 is already less than EV/fold which is 0.0935.