Re: Preflo decisions with less than premium pocket pairs
Your analysis regarding the situation in which I minraise and he pushes is wrong. There would be 485 in the pot, he bets 485, I minraise (which I dont especially like, but since you said it, Ill go with it). That puts 485*4 + 215 x 2 = 2170 + blinds if he pushes. He would have 1600 - 485 x 2 - 215 = 400 or so. So youre basically right in that Id be getting 5 and a half to one or so. So I need to win 1/6.5 or about 12 percent. So, even if I only have the best hand 1 in 10, or even less, the call is right. It is absolutely impossible and absolutely wrong to fold in that situation.
More importantly, you seem to be advocating it as a potential line. Even if it were right to fold in that spot, it would cost me 3/4 of my stack to find out.
-Evan
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