Re: Do I bet this river?
Assuming your read is right, there is a 1 in 7 chance you are beat, although it still seems like a very odd way for an "aggressive" player to be playing his set OOP. At any rate, the amount of money you will gain if he has a smaller full and calls outweighs the -EV if he happens to have you beat, I think its pretty much that simple. If you dont think he would c/r all-in with any other hand than 44, you can fold. Maybe you dont think you can bring yourself to fold Kings full even if you feel its correct and thats the point of this post. Even if that were so, betting is still +EV assuming he'll call, say $1500, with any boat.
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