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Old 05-22-2005, 12:59 AM
BZ_Zorro BZ_Zorro is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: $100 NL
Posts: 612
Default Re: What are the odds?

[ QUOTE ]
>The probability of someone having AA when you have KK is about 1 in 25.

This is 44:1 (provided by a Q & A on the WPT telecast last week at the Legends of Poker).

[/ QUOTE ]
This figure might be for 6 handed play, which is usually what they show on WPT.

I had a look around to see if someone had done the maths ( never really listened in probability lectures anyway - ugh), and came across this post (scroll to bottom of page) at the ITH forum. Also see this if you're interested.

Basically, the probability in a 10 handed game is 4.39%, or ~1 in 22.

As noted, the math was approximate, and my numbers were a little high. And I stand by the other numbers, though again the prob. is slightly better than that.

Didn't mean to hijack your post but I thought a correction was needed.
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