Re: PS 3/6 AJ
I really doubt you're getting checked to on the river.
The turn is difficult, because you do have sufficient outs against AQ. You don't quite have enough outs against AK, but it's close. However, if SB decided to get cute with KK on the flop or suddenly got scared with 77, then you are ahead. Both of those possibilities seem pretty unlikely though, and actually I'm not ruling out the case 9's and case aces. AJs and worse aces are possible too but not especially probable (though I'm not ruling out A [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]).
Anyway, I think your turn/river plan is all right, though of course you shouldn't fold on an ace or 9, and I wouldn't fold on a king either.
I'd probably call the river whether I improved or not, but I wouldn't expect to win (or even chop).
|