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Old 12-14-2005, 12:45 PM
Wynton Wynton is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2003
Posts: 18
Default Re: Today\'s quiz at Cardplayer: steal situation

I suppose I might as well include the explanation:

"Fold. There is $390 in the pot and it costs you $60 to try and get an ace, a king, or a queen. Ostensibly, with 10 outs, this seems like an easy call. The problem is that an ace or a king may not be an out. If your opponent has two pair or a set, you have only four outs with a gutshot queen, which figures to be an 11-to-1 shot. With just a top pair of jacks, your opponent might have bet the flop. But when you get check-raised on the turn, you may well up against two pair like jack-ten, or better. In rare cases, your opponent may be semi-bluffing some kind of draw like a flush-draw. He might have a pair and a flush-draw, giving him the best hand and a good draw. The Ac, Kc, Qc, Ad, Kd, or the Qd may give your opponent a flush. Agreed that he cannot have all these holdings, but the point is that you will not win every time even when you hit one of your outs."
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