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Old 12-06-2005, 04:45 AM
Shillx Shillx is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Frog and Peach Pub, Downtown SLO
Posts: 4,478
Default Re: Hypothetical Gambling Situation

What if a DeathDonkey is behind it though? [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

Yeah of course you switch. Go from a 1/3 to a 50/50 shot. Or is it to a 2:1 favorite I dunno.

If you pick the car and switch you lose everytime. But you only pick the car 1/3 of the time. If you pick a donkey and switch, it will be the car. So yeah you go from a 2:1 dog to a 2:1 favorite.

Edit: DaveC, wtf is going on here. You smoking the good stuff again or is there really a correct answer here? It looks to me like no strategy even slightly dominates the other. And I've been doing game theory all damn day so I know [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
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