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point #3: incorrect. you WANT X7 holders to fold as they ARE getting proper odds (plus implied odds) to call the flop and you want clear them out for your 2 outer. an X7 holder has 4 outs to the gutshot, by calling you are offering them at least 13.5:1 and they only need 11.5:1 to call profitably.


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I'm not sure I understand this logic. How does someone with X7 have 4 outs to the gutshot when you hold two of the 5s? They may think they have four outs, but we know that they have just two. Doesn't this make it more likely that we want them to call?

Overall though I agree we should raise because our pair is so unlikely to hold up in a multiway pot if we don't make the straight.